Mr. Andrew Womack
Dept. of Mathematics, Washington University at St.Louis.

Title:
Bayesian Analysis of One-Way Layouts

Abstract:
     The one-way layout MLE solution has the unfortunate characteristic that the estimated variance between members of a block can be negative. This forces the arbitrary designation that this variance is 0 and this gives a solution to the problem. One can instead formulate the problem from an uninformed Bayesian point of view and determine a joint distribution for all the parameters of the problem. Doing this gives one freedom to choose some initial distribution for the correlation (since the problem is overspecified, the priors cannot be forced through some group invariance) which one can set to be flat (if that indeed is decided to be uninformative in this case). The solution gives a constraint on the correlation forced by the data for the posterior to be a distribution and some intuitive notion of the spread of the parameters.