Theil`s Method for Estimation of Slope and testing H_0:beta=beta_0 for a simple regression See Sections 9.1-9.3 in text Data: Amount of pre-packed engine lubricant and engine survival times: (Source of data unknown.) Lubricant Survival Lubricant Survival 1. 29 23 11. 84 429 2. 21 36 12. 37 489 3. 30 67 13. 94 504 4. 45 104 14. 56 925 5. 48 147 15. 67 980 6. 92 164 16. 79 1254 7. 74 247 17. 70 2961 8. 61 304 18. 93 5351 9. 99 355 19. 76 9915 10. 24 408 20. 72 11301 Let X=Lubricant and Y=Survival (in days) Sorting data into one 20x3 matrix Within-sample tie groups: X: 0 Y: 0 NO TIES in Xs or Ys Theil`s test of H_0:beta=0 (same as Kendall`s test) (NOT assuming that X(i) are increasing, so different from text) C=72 Z=2.3360 P=0.0195 (Assuming no ties) Theil`s test of H_0:beta=5 (similar to Kendall`s test) C=21 Z=0.6813 P=0.4957 (Assuming no ties) Normal-theory test of H_0:beta=0 (Student-t test) beta_hat=37.9242 T=1.2883 P=0.2140 (df=18) (For normal-theory test, note huge outliers in Y_i.) SIMPLE REGRESSION OF Y on X (Y = beta*X + mu) Theil`s estimate of beta is essentially the Hodges-Lehmann estimator of beta based on the Kendall (or Kendall tau) test. That is, that value of beta such that the Kendall K statistic for Y_i - beta X_i vs X_i is 0 (or 1 or -1) EXERCISE: If X_i